Association of Preoperative Patient Frailty and Operative Stress with Postoperative Mortality

Myrick C. Shinall, Shipra Arya, Ada Youk, Patrick Varley, Rupen Shah, Nader N. Massarweh, Paula K. Shireman, Jason M. Johanning, Alaina J. Brown, Neil A. Christie, Lawrence Crist, Catherine M. Curtin, Brian C. Drolet, Rajeev Dhupar, Jennifer Griffin, James W. Ibinson, Jonas T. Johnson, Sonja Kinney, Chad Lagrange, Alexander LangermanGary E. Loyd, Leila J. Mady, Michael P. Mott, Murali Patri, Justin C. Siebler, C. J. Stimson, William E. Thorell, Scott A. Vincent, Daniel E. Hall

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

216 Scopus citations


Importance: Patients with frailty have higher risk for postoperative mortality and complications; however, most research has focused on small groups of high-risk procedures. The associations among frailty, operative stress, and mortality are poorly understood. Objective: To assess the association between frailty and mortality at varying levels of operative stress as measured by the Operative Stress Score, a novel measure created for this study. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study included veterans in the Veterans Administration Surgical Quality Improvement Program from April 1, 2010, through March 31, 2014, who underwent a noncardiac surgical procedure at Veterans Health Administration Hospitals and had information available on vital status (whether the patient was alive or deceased) at 1 year postoperatively. A Delphi consensus method was used to stratify surgical procedures into 5 categories of physiologic stress. Exposures: Frailty as measured by the Risk Analysis Index and operative stress as measured by the Operative Stress Score. Main Outcomes and Measures: Postoperative mortality at 30, 90, and 180 days. Results: Of 432828 unique patients (401453 males [92.8%]; mean (SD) age, 61.0 [12.9] years), 36579 (8.5%) were frail and 9113 (2.1%) were very frail. The 30-day mortality rate among patients who were frail and underwent the lowest-stress surgical procedures (eg, cystoscopy) was 1.55% (95% CI, 1.20%-1.97%) and among patients with frailty who underwent the moderate-stress surgical procedures (eg, laparoscopic cholecystectomy) was 5.13% (95% CI, 4.79%-5.48%); these rates exceeded the 1% mortality rate often used to define high-risk surgery. Among patients who were very frail, 30-day mortality rates were higher after the lowest-stress surgical procedures (10.34%; 95% CI, 7.73%-13.48%) and after the moderate-stress surgical procedures (18.74%; 95% CI, 17.72%-19.80%). For patients who were frail and very frail, mortality continued to increase at 90 and 180 days, reaching 43.00% (95% CI, 41.69%-44.32%) for very frail patients at 180 days after moderate-stress surgical procedures. Conclusions and Relevance: We developed a novel operative stress score to quantify physiologic stress for surgical procedures. Patients who were frail and very frail had high rates of postoperative mortality across all levels of the Operative Stress Score. These findings suggest that frailty screening should be applied universally because low- and moderate-stress procedures may be high risk among patients who are frail.

Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalJAMA Surgery
Issue number1
StatePublished - Jan 2020

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Surgery


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