TY - JOUR
T1 - Developing a satellite-based combined drought indicator to monitor agricultural drought
T2 - a case study for Ethiopia
AU - Bayissa, Yared A.
AU - Tadesse, Tsegaye
AU - Svoboda, Mark
AU - Wardlow, Brian
AU - Poulsen, Calvin
AU - Swigart, John
AU - Van Andel, Schalk Jan
N1 - Funding Information:
The main concept of this manuscript was derived from the doctoral dissertation of the first author (Bayissa 2018). This research was financially supported by NASA Project NNX14AD30G. We are also indebted to the National Meteorological Agency (NMA) of Ethiopia for providing the long-term climate data. We acknowledge John Swigart of the NDMC for his contribution during PCA calculation, and Deborah Wood of the NDMC for her editorial comments.
Funding Information:
This work was supported by the NASA [NNX14AD30G]. The main concept of this manuscript was derived from the doctoral dissertation of the first author (Bayissa 2018). This research was financially supported by NASA Project NNX14AD30G. We are also indebted to the National Meteorological Agency (NMA) of Ethiopia for providing the long-term climate data. We acknowledge John Swigart of the NDMC for his contribution during PCA calculation, and Deborah Wood of the NDMC for her editorial comments.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2018, © 2018 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2019/7/4
Y1 - 2019/7/4
N2 - Developing a robust drought monitoring tool is vital to mitigate the adverse impacts of drought. A drought monitoring system that integrates multiple agrometeorological variables into a single drought indicator is lacking in areas such as Ethiopia, which is extremely susceptible to this natural hazard. The overarching goal of this study is to develop a combined drought indicator (CDI-E) to monitor the spatial and temporal extents of historic agricultural drought events in Ethiopia. The CDI-E was developed by combining four satellite-based agrometeorological input parameters–the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Land Surface Temperature (LST) anomaly, Standardized Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (stdNDVI) and Soil Moisture (SM) anomaly–for the period from 2001 to 2015. The method used to combine these indices is based on a quantitative approach that assigns a weight to each input parameter using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The CDI-E results were evaluated using satellite-based gridded rainfall (3-month SPI) and crop yield data for 36 intra-country crop growing zones for a 15-year period (2001 to 2015). The evaluation was carried out for the main rainfall season, Kiremt (June-September), and the short rainfall season, Belg (February-May). The results showed that moderate to severe droughts were detected by the CDI-E across the food insecure regions reported by FEWS NET during Kiremt and Belg rainfall seasons. Relatively higher correlation coefficient values (r > 0.65) were obtained when CDI-E was compared with the 3-month SPI across the majority of Ethiopia. The spatial correlation analyses of CDI-E and cereal crop yields showed relatively good correlations (r > 0.5) in some of the crop growing zones in the northern, eastern and southwestern parts of the country. The CDI-E generally mapped the spatial and temporal patterns of historic drought and non-drought years and hence the CDI-E could potentially be used to develop an agricultural drought monitoring and early warning system in Ethiopia. Moreover, decision makers and donors may potentially use CDI-E to more accurately monitor crop yields across the food-insecure regions in Ethiopia.
AB - Developing a robust drought monitoring tool is vital to mitigate the adverse impacts of drought. A drought monitoring system that integrates multiple agrometeorological variables into a single drought indicator is lacking in areas such as Ethiopia, which is extremely susceptible to this natural hazard. The overarching goal of this study is to develop a combined drought indicator (CDI-E) to monitor the spatial and temporal extents of historic agricultural drought events in Ethiopia. The CDI-E was developed by combining four satellite-based agrometeorological input parameters–the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Land Surface Temperature (LST) anomaly, Standardized Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (stdNDVI) and Soil Moisture (SM) anomaly–for the period from 2001 to 2015. The method used to combine these indices is based on a quantitative approach that assigns a weight to each input parameter using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The CDI-E results were evaluated using satellite-based gridded rainfall (3-month SPI) and crop yield data for 36 intra-country crop growing zones for a 15-year period (2001 to 2015). The evaluation was carried out for the main rainfall season, Kiremt (June-September), and the short rainfall season, Belg (February-May). The results showed that moderate to severe droughts were detected by the CDI-E across the food insecure regions reported by FEWS NET during Kiremt and Belg rainfall seasons. Relatively higher correlation coefficient values (r > 0.65) were obtained when CDI-E was compared with the 3-month SPI across the majority of Ethiopia. The spatial correlation analyses of CDI-E and cereal crop yields showed relatively good correlations (r > 0.5) in some of the crop growing zones in the northern, eastern and southwestern parts of the country. The CDI-E generally mapped the spatial and temporal patterns of historic drought and non-drought years and hence the CDI-E could potentially be used to develop an agricultural drought monitoring and early warning system in Ethiopia. Moreover, decision makers and donors may potentially use CDI-E to more accurately monitor crop yields across the food-insecure regions in Ethiopia.
KW - Drought monitoring
KW - Ethiopia
KW - combined drought indicator
KW - principal component analysis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85058090934&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85058090934&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/15481603.2018.1552508
DO - 10.1080/15481603.2018.1552508
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85058090934
SN - 1548-1603
VL - 56
SP - 718
EP - 748
JO - GIScience and Remote Sensing
JF - GIScience and Remote Sensing
IS - 5
ER -