Policy risk in the canadian dairy industry

Lia Nogueira, Richard R. Barichello, Kathy Baylis, Hayley H. Chouinard

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

6 Scopus citations


Canadian dairy farmers purchase a marketing quota through the Provincial Marketing Boards to sell milk in Canada. That quota captures rents created by regulations and is subject to policy risk. We define policy risk as the farmers' expectation that quota rents will decline or disappear over time. We calculate the effect of perceived policy risk to determine whether the Uruguay Round Agreement affected the amount of protection given to farmers. Calculated policy risk ranged from 14-29%. Policy risk increased in the years leading up to the Uruguay Round Agreement, but decreased after the WTO was established and remains at a historic low.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numberppr043
Pages (from-to)147-166
Number of pages20
JournalApplied Economic Perspectives and Policy
Issue number1
StatePublished - Mar 2012
Externally publishedYes


  • Canadian supply management system
  • Dairy policy
  • Policy risk

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Development
  • Economics and Econometrics


Dive into the research topics of 'Policy risk in the canadian dairy industry'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this