TY - JOUR
T1 - Simulated atmospheric response to four projected land-use land-cover change scenarios for 2050 in the north-central united states
AU - Flanagan, Paul Xavier
AU - Mahmood, Rezaul
AU - Sohl, Terry
AU - Svoboda, Mark
AU - Wardlow, Brian
AU - Hayes, Michael
AU - Rappin, Eric
N1 - Funding Information:
The authors thank two anonymous reviewers and the editor for their valuable comments that improved this paper. We also thank the USGS/EROS Center for providing and hosting the data (https://doi.org/10.5066/P95AK9HP; Sohl et al. 2018) that made this project possible. Funding for this project is provided by the High Plains Regional Climate Center (HPRCC) and Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources, both at the University of Nebraska–Lincoln. This work was completed while the primary author was working at the HPRCC. Rezaul Mahmood acknowledges funding from the NSF Grant AGS-1853390. This work was completed utilizing the Holland Computing Center of the University of Nebraska, which receives support from the Nebraska Research Initiative. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. government.
Funding Information:
Acknowledgments. The authors thank two anonymous reviewers and the editor for their valuable comments that improved this paper. We also thank the USGS/EROS Center for providing and hosting the data (https://doi.org/10.5066/P95AK9HP; Sohl et al. 2018) that made this project possible. Funding for this project is provided by the High Plains Regional Climate Center (HPRCC) and Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources, both at the University of Nebraska–Lincoln. This work was completed while the primary author was working at the HPRCC. Rezaul Mahmood acknowledges funding from the NSF Grant AGS-1853390. This work was completed utilizing the Holland Computing Center of the University of Nebraska, which receives support from the Nebraska Research Initiative. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. government.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 American Meteorological Society.
PY - 2021/3
Y1 - 2021/3
N2 - Land-use land-cover change (LULCC) has become an important topic of research for the central United States because of the extensive conversion of the natural prairie into agricultural land, especially in the northern Great Plains. As a result, shifts in the natural climate (minimum/maximum temperature, precipitation, etc.) across the north-central United States have been observed, as noted within the Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) report. Thus, it is necessary to understand how further LULCC will affect the near-surface atmosphere, the lower troposphere, and the planetary boundary layer (PBL) atmosphere over this region. The goal of this work was to investigate the utility of a new future land-use land-cover (LULC) dataset within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) modeling system. The present study utilizes a modeled future land-use dataset developed by the Forecasting Scenarios of Land-Use Change (FORE-SCE) model to investigate the influence of future (2050) land use on a simulated PBL development within the WRF Model. Three primary areas of LULCC were identified within the FORE-SCE future LULC dataset across Nebraska and South Dakota. Variations in LULC between the 2005 LULC control simulation and four FORE-SCE simulations affected near-surface temperature (0.58–18C) and specific humidity (0.3–0.5 g kg21). The differences noted in the temperature and moisture fields affected the development of the simulated PBL, leading to variations in PBL height and convective available potential energy. Overall, utilizing the FORE-SCE dataset within WRF produced notable differences relative to the control simulation over areas of LULCC represented in the FORE-SCE dataset.
AB - Land-use land-cover change (LULCC) has become an important topic of research for the central United States because of the extensive conversion of the natural prairie into agricultural land, especially in the northern Great Plains. As a result, shifts in the natural climate (minimum/maximum temperature, precipitation, etc.) across the north-central United States have been observed, as noted within the Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) report. Thus, it is necessary to understand how further LULCC will affect the near-surface atmosphere, the lower troposphere, and the planetary boundary layer (PBL) atmosphere over this region. The goal of this work was to investigate the utility of a new future land-use land-cover (LULC) dataset within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) modeling system. The present study utilizes a modeled future land-use dataset developed by the Forecasting Scenarios of Land-Use Change (FORE-SCE) model to investigate the influence of future (2050) land use on a simulated PBL development within the WRF Model. Three primary areas of LULCC were identified within the FORE-SCE future LULC dataset across Nebraska and South Dakota. Variations in LULC between the 2005 LULC control simulation and four FORE-SCE simulations affected near-surface temperature (0.58–18C) and specific humidity (0.3–0.5 g kg21). The differences noted in the temperature and moisture fields affected the development of the simulated PBL, leading to variations in PBL height and convective available potential energy. Overall, utilizing the FORE-SCE dataset within WRF produced notable differences relative to the control simulation over areas of LULCC represented in the FORE-SCE dataset.
KW - Atmosphere–land interaction
KW - Convective-scale processes
KW - North America
KW - Numerical analysis/modeling
KW - Regional models
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U2 - 10.1175/EI-D-20-0019.1
DO - 10.1175/EI-D-20-0019.1
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85117404038
VL - 25
SP - 177
EP - 194
JO - Earth Interactions
JF - Earth Interactions
SN - 1087-3562
IS - 1
ER -